Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.819837 2.094149 2.395765 2.752027 3.161410 3.617215 4.163403
2025-06-01 1.424947 1.780691 2.204788 2.747742 3.424798 4.241862 5.303911
2025-06-08 1.134950 1.523013 2.019093 2.700016 3.611297 4.790337 6.434696
2025-06-15 0.995555 1.423060 2.004455 2.853361 4.062984 5.727798 8.199522
2025-06-22 0.856545 1.295735 1.927114 2.901598 4.370580 6.507683 9.864065
2025-06-29 0.728753 1.160546 1.813330 2.872878 4.553809 7.125521 11.376019
2025-07-06 0.604992 1.009861 1.650800 2.740227 4.551372 7.453081 12.478798
2025-07-13 0.554117 0.966170 1.646933 2.854626 4.951460 8.457696 14.800081
2025-07-20 0.514293 0.933958 1.655461 2.987561 5.396009 9.587317 17.482821
2025-07-27 0.474125 0.894520 1.644796 3.082935 5.783919 10.663843 20.213747
2025-08-03 0.431795 0.844546 1.607621 3.123001 6.073141 11.595258 22.798253
2025-08-10 0.379819 0.768685 1.512020 3.038564 6.113358 12.065144 24.559373
2025-08-17 0.325504 0.682253 1.387980 2.888095 6.017159 12.286282 25.916747
2025-08-24 0.292623 0.634608 1.334073 2.871593 6.189707 13.064313 28.531000
2025-08-31 0.260235 0.583270 1.265612 2.814910 6.270258 13.665034 30.861177
2025-09-07 0.249877 0.578241 1.293860 2.970647 6.831637 15.358579 35.834302
2025-09-14 0.231793 0.553176 1.275001 3.018434 7.158404 16.583096 39.926493
2025-09-21 0.210079 0.516490 1.224999 2.987159 7.297896 17.403138 43.192534
2025-09-28 0.184010 0.465581 1.135198 2.848449 7.161687 17.563096 44.887401
2025-10-05 0.176404 0.459033 1.149853 2.966914 7.671698 19.335437 50.854427
2025-10-12 0.170299 0.455396 1.171070 3.104811 8.250206 21.353912 57.751436
2025-10-19 0.162480 0.446152 1.176929 3.203769 8.741848 23.219072 64.521644
2025-10-26 0.152510 0.429702 1.161990 3.245311 9.086466 24.749073 70.611365